tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11828468.post6132570522420242238..comments2023-10-12T07:52:41.914-04:00Comments on Poker Wannabe: talk about hating local card roomscolumbo (at eifco dot org)http://www.blogger.com/profile/16116768669414563102noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11828468.post-36034244996699362142007-09-24T21:30:00.000-04:002007-09-24T21:30:00.000-04:00Hey Ray, just found your blog. I've played a few ...Hey Ray, just found your blog. I've played a few times with ya. I really enjoyed the posts. You just picked up another regular reader. Feel free to read/link to huskerhouspoker.blogspot.com. <BR/><BR/>Anyway, I have to disagree with your statement that calling with KK vs AA is always a mistake. <BR/><BR/>First, calling off all of your chips preflop with KK is almost always mandatory. The long term costs of making a mistake with your preflop read and laying down KK has to be way more than the cost of getting stacked in the rare situation that you run into AA when you are holding KK. I think you get AA vs. KK approx once in every 50k hands. By contrast, you get KK 220 times more frequently (my math may be off a little, I'm too lazy to check right now - but it's directionally correct). The profit you make playing hands like AA or KK is just so disportiantely high compared to all of the other hands you play, that you just can't profitably fold KK preflop. <BR/><BR/>But let me give you the hypothetical to illustrate. Say that you get almost, but not all, of your money in preflop with KK and your opponent lets you know (flashes) he has 2 aces before you make your decision to call his all in bet.<BR/><BR/>You'd have to agree that there is some point at which calling become the right decision (i.e., the pot has $200 and you need to call $20). <BR/><BR/>In reality, you only need about 4 or 5 to 1 to make it a break even decision (i.e., calling $40 into a $200 pot)<BR/><BR/>All of this is a bit "academic" because you'd have to be a complete donkey to flash AA to an opponent who is considering a call. I just don't see it happening ever. Even if a player "accidently" exposes his 2 aces, many card rooms (i.e., Greektown and motor city) can declare your hand dead if you expose your cards to an opponent (I know, I flashed KK in a 4 handed pot as I was capping the betting preflop in a limit game at Greektown. The dealer killed my hand. I was pissed until one of the 3 remaining player won the hand with AA).<BR/><BR/>Anyway, I enjoy your blog. I'm going to read some of the previous posts.Jon Jhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02582608619637884202noreply@blogger.com