Wednesday, June 23, 2010

Transperancy and suck-age Part V (4th hour)

(12) Easy shove, bad luck

Full Tilt Poker Game #21829287690: $42,000 Guarantee (168285862), Table 143 - 500/1000 Ante 125 Seat 2: Toni_Jensen (8,461)
Seat 3: poil76 (61,025)
Seat 4: columbo (5,757)
Seat 5: Just4fun_Kara (26,870)
Seat 6: bigcon-cret (74,508)
Seat 7: buldos (12,269)
Seat 8: Jazzinitup (68,081)
Seat 9: Gosha1966 (26,824)
antes 125
poil76 posts the small blind of 500
columbo posts the big blind of 1,000
The button is in seat #2

Just4fun_Kara folds
bigcon-cret folds
buldos folds
Jazzinitup raises to 2,345
Gosha1966 folds
Toni_Jensen folds
poil76 folds

 *** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to columbo [Th Ts]
 columbo raises to 5,632, and is all in

Jazzinitup calls 3,287
 which still tells me nothing in that he is going to call any shove here.

columbo shows [Th Ts]
Jazzinitup shows [Ad Ah]
*** FLOP *** [5h 2d 8c]
*** TURN *** [5h 2d 8c] [8h]
*** RIVER *** [5h 2d 8c 8h] [6h]
columbo shows two pair, Tens and Eights
Jazzinitup shows two pair, Aces and Eights
Jazzinitup wins the pot (12,764) with two pair, Aces and Eights

Out 193rd, pays 189.  A true bubble-boy!


So, played well or played poorly?

Transperancy and suck-age Part IV (4th hour)

(#11) UTG makes it 1800 and there is an all-in caller.  I have 67o in BB and tank, but eventually fold.  AQ vs. KT and the flop comes 6 high.  turn and river blanks.  Was that really the spot?

It was 1000 to call 4000 but the money would be lost without hitting the flop vs. 2 players. 

Man, I am going to be thinking about this for a while.

Comments?

Transperancy and suck-age Part III (3rd hour)

Fold AJo in the SB vs.UtG 3x raise.  He had Ac7c?!  Makes Flush (vs. shorty all-in caller)??  WTF Bulgaria??

(8) A tough hand with middling pairs.  Unless you hit the flop!
Full Tilt Poker Game #21828063281: $42,000 Guarantee (168285862), Table 40 - 150/300 Ante 25
Seat 1: columbo (10,182)
Seat 2: W24W73 (16,350)
Seat 3: rubin-bg (10,393)
Seat 4: p4tricio (2,858)
Seat 5: Thorodor (4,720)
Seat 6: SirRui (9,841)
Seat 7: nicklas87 (7,610)
Seat 8: SKRUB-ALF (6,165)
Seat 9: Sgtlion (4,685)
everyone antes 25
The button is in seat #8
W24W73 folds
rubin-bg folds
p4tricio folds
Thorodor folds
SirRui raises to 700
nicklas87 folds
SKRUB-ALF folds
Sgtlion folds


*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to columbo [8c 8h]
columbo has 15 seconds left to act
columbo calls 400
*** FLOP *** [8d 2s Qc]
columbo checks
SirRui bets 1,200
columbo has 15 seconds left to act
columbo calls 1,200
*** TURN *** [8d 2s Qc] [6d]
columbo checks  (not sure this was a good idea, he will check behind many, many hands.  But if he has zed, then its ok)
SirRui checks
*** RIVER *** [8d 2s Qc 6d] [Qh]
columbo bets 1,900
SirRui has 15 seconds left to act
SirRui has requested TIME
SirRui calls 1,900
*** SHOW DOWN ***
columbo shows [8c 8h] a full house, Eights full of Queens
Seat 6: SirRui mucked [Td Ah] - a pair of Queens

OMG! Handed me $1900 in chips on a HERO CALL!  Thanks!

Raise to 1k with AhQh in cutoff, no callers.  (200/400/50)

(9) Sat stunned with 55 (folded to me) in MP and decided to just call.  Cutoff with only 1800 shoves.  SB re-shoves for 5k and I fold it.   AT vs. AK re-shove.  K on river.  I would have called the 1800 I think.   So, all's w4ll that ends w4ll. 

I have $12.7k and avg is 12.8k.  There are 370 left 1/2 way through the 3rd hour.  We have had 9 or our hands of excitement so far...  We are at the 20% left marker and here is where mistakes become fatal...
also of note that M is just 10 here, and thus there is not any room for small-ball.  We are coming at pots with guns blazing and with control only.

Folded to me in Hijack and I raise to 1250 with AQo.  No Callers.

FOLD KQo in MP when player on right open shoves with $4200.  My position is too early.  He gets called by the button with TT but turns a set.  Lucky him.  (I would have flopped TP). 
Meanwhile average has crept up to $16k as players flame out.  Level moves up to 300/600/75.

Fold BB of 75o to shove.  Hardly worth noting except that I am bleeding chips and not seeing many hands.

(10) I get to see a discount flop (4 players) from SB with Jh9h and flop heart draw (KcTh3h).  I check-call a min bet of 600 and then the turn is an Ad.  I check and LP OBV SHOVES 15K!?  He hit the Ace.  Crap.  I fold.  $10k left.  (Would you have shoved the flop?)


Table move.  Q=0.5

Open-Fold KJo in Hijack as its a weak hand to shove with, and I have no play with my short stack.   Its a new table, so I dont know who would call my shove (player on Button has $71k).  Same goes for A9s UtG+1.  (4th hand at new table).  Two players get it all in pre-flop with marginal hands.  A9 would not have won though.

UGH.  Fold 54o in BB vs. UTG raiser.  Fold 24o in SB to UTG+1 raiser.  M=M-1.  241 left.

Blinds move to 400/800/100 and I am looking for ATC to shove in a good spot.  Still fold A9o when UTG makes it 3x.  UTG+1 3 bets and SB 4bets!   (Ak, AK, QQ)  A9o no good at all.  225 left. Cards suck.  Spots suck.  Cant find a crack anywhere.

End of hour 3.  I have 8k, Avg is just under 22k with 219 left. 
We are just going to have to get some chips.

Transperancy and suck-age Part 2 (2nd hour)

First hand back, AK in BB.  Cutoff makes it 240 (3x).  I re-raise to 600.  He folds.

Hmmm, I fold 4h5h from UtG+2 when UtG+1 makes it 3x.   Awfully conservative, but with 5 more players with position, it would be wishful thinking that I could call here.  And I am not raising.  So I fold.  So does everyone else.  Oh dear.

Hmmm, rotation later UtG limps, so I limp behind (UtG+1) with with 88.  Flop is 24T so I bet 200 into 350 after UTG and BB checks.  Re-raised all-in for 540 by BB and UTG limper folds.  Must call.  He has Q4 for middle pair and I win a pot but I can hardly call this an interesting hand.

Flop bottom pair in the BB vs. single limper.  He c-bets 100 into 350, so I  check-call.   But when he bets 300 on turn, I check-fold.  Again, very conservative.  (the next hand, 2 players go broke at the table AK,AQ,JJ pile their money in pre-flop with the AQ CALLING the other 2 all-ins!)

Folded to me in cutoff and I fold A9o.  Meh.  No good can come of it at 50/100.
I also fold AJo UtG+1, without apologies. 
 But...
(Interesting Hand #6) When I get AJo in the BB and that guy from the last hand (when I flop bottom pair with 23) makes it 3x, I reraise him this time.  Oops, he calls.  Flop is Q38 with 2 hearts and I check, he also checks.  Turn is a 7 (non-heart).  I lead out for 900 (into 1700) and he folds!  Phew. (AJ also?  AK?  middling pair?  Who can say?)  I had to bet to win, vs. getting a better hand to fold rule.

Hmmm, fold 33 to a raise of 480 (I have 5700) in Hijack because I think its a bad spot and too many chips.  Cutoff makes it 1200.  Nice fold me.

Make it 3x with AQs UtG, no callers.

Same guy on my right raises AGAIN and I fold 66, Cutoff AGAIN re-raises (all-in) and this time he calls.  He had ATs and the cutoff KK. Lame.

Easy Fold KJ UtG.

(#7) Cutoff raises to 565, I re-raise from SB to 1700,  Cutoff thinks and shoves with QhJh???  Hope-a-tron!  Snap-call with AA holds up.

Get frisky with my image and raise from MP (First in)  to 500 with 7c8c and all folds.  300 chips for me.

Call Button min-raise from BB with KdTd.  Flop is Ah6h9d.  I check, he bets 400 and I sit and think.  But fold. -400 chips for me.

Folds around to me on button and yet I still fold 5To.  Gimme a T... Gimme an I...  Gimme a G...

Battle of the blinds and I have Ac7c.   I flop TP AND 2 clubs.  He leads out for min but he only has $1800 behind?  What do I even do here?   He is WAY behind, but every card will be an over.  I just shove hoping to look like the naked flush draw.  He tanks, but eventually folds.  (Note: avg is 7.7k, so what does he lead out with here?  Napkins I assume?)

At second break, I have $10.8k, Avg is 8.3k  (Q=1.2ish)   575 of our now 1588 runners left (pays 189).

Transperancy and suck-age Part 1 (the first hour)

Ok, I have said before that the $42k is basically being right on 20 hands and not getting unlucky.  Let's put that to the test.  I will post my non-trivial hands from today and you can judge...

Level I has little action.  Made a straight and already had no action, a bet results in folds.  Not even worth discussing for 60 chips.
Ditto for TT on a flop of 9h5c4c and I bet 2/3 pot and get 3 folds.
Ditto for AQ folded to me on button, blinds fold.
Ditto for QQ from EP (all folds) and
AQ UtG (all folds).
AQ again only in BB this hand.  I call and the flop is 828 so I fold to his c-bet.  (No 3bet with AQ OOP in L1.)
AJ now in SB and folds around, I raise, BB folds.
(4 decent hands in a row, no fireworks.)


Folded to me in SB with A9, call.  Flop Ace. Bet and BB folds. 

First interesting hand (easy fold)
Full Tilt Poker Game #21826194566: $42,000 Guarantee 20/40
Seat 1: columbo (3,370)
Seat 2: ghnopin92110 (2,775), is sitting out
Seat 3: ThunderFX (1,580)
Seat 4: laksjdfh (4,935)
Seat 5: Majesticflo11 (3,000)
Seat 6: cece0123 (3,060)
Seat 7: pigcrab (2,175)
Seat 8: Fabio_Bitt (3,410)
Seat 9: liflo (3,090)
The button is in seat #2
cece0123 folds
pigcrab folds
Fabio_Bitt folds
liflo has 15 seconds left to act
liflo raises to 320
columbo has 15 seconds left to act
columbo has requested TIME
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to columbo [Kc Ac]
columbo calls 320  [Big raise to 8x here is probably QQ-AA.  With me having AK, I figure QQ]
ghnopin92110 folds
ThunderFX folds
laksjdfh folds
*** FLOP *** [8s Jd 4c]
liflo bets 2,770, and is all in
columbo folds

I am now sitting with a starting stack size after all that.

NEXT (2nd interesting hand):
Full Tilt Poker Game #21826239415: $42,000 25/50
Seat 1: columbo (3,050)
Seat 2: ghnopin92110 (2,775), is sitting out
Seat 3: ThunderFX (1,560)
Seat 4: laksjdfh (5,095)
Seat 5: Majesticflo11 (2,875)
Seat 6: cece0123 (3,085)
Seat 8: Fabio_Bitt (3,410)
Seat 9: liflo (3,370)
cece0123 posts the small blind of 25
Fabio_Bitt posts the big blind of 50
The button is in seat #5

fold,
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to columbo [Ac Ks]
columbo has 15 seconds left to act
columbo raises to 150
ghnopin92110 folds
ThunderFX folds
laksjdfh calls 150
Majesticflo11 folds
cece0123 has 15 seconds left to act
cece0123 calls 125
Fabio_Bitt folds

*** FLOP *** [9d 2c As]
cece0123 checks
columbo has 15 seconds left to act
columbo bets 300  (3/5 pot)
laksjdfh calls 300  CALL?
cece0123 folds
*** TURN *** [9d 2c As] [Kd]
columbo checks  (I am hoping he tries to "take it away')
laksjdfh checks   (nope, probably a marginal ace)
*** RIVER *** [9d 2c As Kd] [Ts]
columbo bets 500  (how much will he call with an Ace?  About 1/2 port)
laksjdfh calls 500
*** SHOW DOWN ***
columbo shows [Ac Ks] two pair, Aces and Kings
laksjdfh mucks


(3) Way ahead or Way behind?  I play this real careful then OBV.
Full Tilt Poker Game #21826330653: $42,000 Guarantee (168285862), Table 40 - 25/50
Seat 1: columbo (4,125)
Seat 2: ghnopin92110 (2,700), is sitting out
Seat 3: rollon234 (2,675)
Seat 4: laksjdfh (4,095)
Seat 5: Majesticflo11 (2,875), is sitting out
Seat 6: cece0123 (3,160)
Seat 7: medijun (866)
Seat 8: Fabio_Bitt (5,045)
Seat 9: liflo (3,545)
laksjdfh posts the small blind of 25
Majesticflo11 posts the big blind of 50
The button is in seat #3
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to columbo [Ad As]
cece0123 folds
medijun folds
Fabio_Bitt folds
liflo calls 50
columbo raises to 200
ghnopin92110 folds
rollon234 folds
laksjdfh folds
Majesticflo11 folds
liflo calls 150
*** FLOP *** [Th Kh 4h]
liflo checks
columbo checks  (I should normally bet here, but did not)
*** TURN *** [Th Kh 4h] [Ks]
liflo bets 100
columbo calls 100  (Should raise here if I think he has just a heart, but continue to play passive because its the first hour)
*** RIVER *** [Th Kh 4h Ks] [Ah]
liflo checks
columbo has 15 seconds left to act
columbo bets 675  (or pot size bet, trying to look like a bluff, hoping he makes a crying call with a heart)
liflo folds

(4) Getting a tad more aggressive pre-lfop
Full Tilt Poker Game #21826430743: $42,000 Guarantee (168285862), Table 40 - 30/60 - No Limit Hold'em - 14:42:49 ET - 2010/06/23
Seat 1: columbo (4,425)
Seat 2: ghnopin92110 (2,625), is sitting out
Seat 3: rollon234 (2,600)
Seat 4: laksjdfh (3,990)
Seat 5: Majesticflo11 (2,740), is sitting out
Seat 6: frnckrt (3,380)
Seat 8: Fabio_Bitt (5,220)
Seat 9: liflo (4,426)
Majesticflo11 posts the small blind of 30
frnckrt posts the big blind of 60
The button is in seat #4
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to columbo [As Ks]
Fabio_Bitt raises to 180
liflo folds
columbo raises to 480
ghnopin92110 folds
rollon234 folds
laksjdfh folds
Majesticflo11 folds
frnckrt folds
Fabio_Bitt calls 300
*** FLOP *** [9d Jc 6h]
Fabio_Bitt checks
columbo checks  (marginally ahead or way behind)
*** TURN *** [9d Jc 6h] [Ah]
Fabio_Bitt checks
columbo bets 750  (3/4 pot)
Fabio_Bitt has 15 seconds left to act
Fabio_Bitt folds

KK UtG+1 raise to 200, no action.

(5) TT after a raise and caller
Full Tilt Poker Game #21826533333: $42,000 Guarantee (168285862), Table 40 - 30/60
Seat 1: columbo (4,995)
Seat 2: ghnopin92110 (2,565), is sitting out
Seat 3: rollon234 (2,600)
Seat 4: laksjdfh (3,930)
Seat 5: Majesticflo11 (3,040)
Seat 6: frnckrt (3,860)
Seat 7: PurpleH (2,965)
Seat 8: Fabio_Bitt (3,600)
Seat 9: liflo (4,906)
ghnopin92110 posts the small blind of 30
rollon234 posts the big blind of 60
The button is in seat #1
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to columbo [Td Th]
laksjdfh folds
Majesticflo11 folds
frnckrt raises to 120
PurpleH calls 120
Fabio_Bitt folds
liflo folds
columbo raises to 360
ghnopin92110 folds
rollon234 folds
frnckrt calls 240
PurpleH folds
*** FLOP *** [Kc 3d 3c]
frnckrt checks
columbo bets 550  (c-bet, hoping he does not have K)
frnckrt calls 550
*** TURN *** [Kc 3d 3c] [Jc]
frnckrt checks
columbo checks
*** RIVER *** [Kc 3d 3c Jc] [4s]
frnckrt checks

He is trying to get to showdown but he is only going to fold JJ or QQ to a big bluff.
columbo checks
*** SHOW DOWN ***
columbo shows [Td Th] two pair, Tens and Threes
frnckrt shows [Qd Kd] two pair, Kings and Threes

At the first break, I have $4085, avg. is $4095 (Q=1).  There are 1078 or the original 1473 left. 
5 interesting hands so far, but also got dealt more than the usual share of playable hands.

Tuesday, June 15, 2010

It's about the gaze...

Peer deeply into my eyes...

Apparently, when someone goes all slack jaw and blank while staring and thinking at the flop, this is an indication that they are an expert.  Not because of what it accomplishes, but because why it happens.  "Change Blindness" and other psychological indicators are physically apparent.  This also give credence to tells "when there are no tells". 

It also seems to that by emulating that behavior, you are more likely to pick up the "affect of the effect".  i.e. Some of the reason this is done should rub off.   Although the more you know, the smaller the gap.

Today's Psychoanalysis is now complete.  Put down your wet rags and go back to your lives.

And remember to get the Durrrr look on your face.

Friday, June 11, 2010

Maybe I dont suck?

Played ONE MTT since my return.  (Did I mention my car died coming home from the airport?)

115th of 2545.  Why no run like that last week?!

Tuesday, June 08, 2010

Where to Begin/End?

Worst. Trip. Ever.

I know no one truly believes that one "runs bad".  HA!  I challenge anyone (take that FUEL)  to a RUN BAD contest. 

At one point, I was so brutally beat down, when a person hit a four out on me on the turn, I tossed my cards down in such a way that the dealer just mucked them, and my re-suck 2 outer on the river was null and void.  My big chance to beat someone down and I accidentally (but to be clear, firmly my fault) throw it away.  This was small stakes cash at the very end of the trip.  I got up from the table (still up no less) and was done for the trip.

I cant talk about beats because who cares?  So, no stories from the Venetian DS.  That is right, not one hand that was not a "beat story". 


I am going to take a page from the NFL.  When a head coach witnesses his club get clobbered, they sometimes just burn the tape and forget about it.  Figuratively, of course.  But they dont study it.  They caulk it up to getting hammered and just prepare for the next opponent. 

DONE.

Oh, the 11 hour flight ordeal back was fun too.

Thursday, June 03, 2010

Another $1.5k under my belt

My first table was brutal, featuring a guy who was hot off chopping the Sunday million last week and pwnd me twice.  This took my 4500 down to 3000 and I had to work uphill from there on in.  I kept finding good spot to chip up though and despite some ups and downs was relieved when my table broke.   My new table was much tighter and less chaotic, allowing me to play more within my style.  I doubled my JJ thought A7, but the other chips were hard to come by.  We had FIVE stacks of 7-9k at our table at the dinner break, with $14 being avg.

I hatched a post dinner plan.  I knew we had only 1 more hour before the ante ratio changed to 6:1 and I already had little to no chip utility.  I decided I was going to double up in the next hour.  My opportunity came when a player who often raises light, makes it 800. (we are at 200/400/50).  I have 88 in MP and I THINK about shoving and picking up the 1500 in chips.  But that was not the plan.  The plan is to call, allow one of the two guys at the far end of the table to try a squeeze play with an Ace and then 3 bet all in.  Sure enough the large stack does and I insta-shove.  He made it $1650 and I make it $9k.  I figure I have lots of fold equity here, based on how I played it.  Despite my raise being like $7k he says "Unless you have KK I have to call".  Huh?  really?  Well, he only has AQ, a light call and one that surprised me based on my image and 88 was far lower than any of my showdowns at the table.  But, I was still a small favorite to chip up from $9k to $20k (with now $15k being average and $20k being stellar).   I liked the $1800 in dead money here and well as the expected range of the squeeze play being Ax.  I expect to see at least AK here though, and truth be told expected a fold.


The flop had a Q and its over again.  Eerily similar to last year.  (which was JJ vs. AK in almost the exact same situation and levels).

Amazingly, I went back over the hands I played and never got my money in bad.  Perhaps that is a bad thing.  I did let internet-guy bluff me off my 22 hand and then turn around and make a gut shot straight on another hand where he called my c-bet with air.  That may have been early on, but it set that stage for my need to win a race.  My only race of the event.  And I lose it.

I am the Charlie Brown of poker.

Probably going to play Venetian $340 DS tomorrow now.